Geothermal Power Market Role of AI in Resource Optimization

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The Global Geothermal Power Market size is expected to be worth around USD 11.4 Billion by 2034, from USD 7.7 Billion in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 4.0% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2034.

Report Overview:

The global geothermal power market is steadily growing and is expected to rise from USD 7.7 billion in 2024 to around USD 11.4 billion by 2034, showing a healthy CAGR of 4.0% over the forecast period. This growth is being led by the use of flash steam power plants, which now make up over 59.4% of the market. These systems are especially effective in places with high underground temperatures, such as the United States, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Most geothermal plants in the world fall under the up to 5 MW category, representing nearly 87.6% of all installations. This makes them ideal for small-scale power needs, particularly in remote or industrial areas.

A majority of geothermal energy production over 74.5% comes from high-temperature sources (above 150°C), which are more efficient and reliable for continuous power generation. Industrial applications take the lead in usage, accounting for 65.9% of the market, thanks to their constant need for both heat and power. On the regional front, North America is ahead, making up around 48.6% of the global market, with a valuation of USD 3.7 billion. The region's dominance is supported by favorable government policies, tax incentives, and well-developed geothermal infrastructure. This highlights the continent’s strong commitment to clean and reliable energy.

Key Takeaways

  • The market is on track to grow by nearly 48% by 2034.

  • Flash steam plants dominate the market due to efficiency at high temperatures.

  • Small-scale projects (up to 5 MW) are the most commonly deployed type.

  • North America leads globally, driven by investment and policy support.

Geothermal Power Market
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Key Market Segments:

By Power Station

  • Dry Steam Power Stations
  • Flash Steam Power Stations
  • Binary Cycle Power Stations

By Power

  • Upto 5MW
  • Above 5 MW

By Temperature Type

  • Low Temperature (Up to 900C)
  • Medium Temperature (900C – 1500C)
  • High Temperature (Above 1500C)

By End-Use

  • Industrial
  • Residential
  • Commercial

DORT Analysis

Drivers

  1. Geothermal offers round-the-clock power, unlike solar or wind, making it a preferred baseload energy source.

  2. Flash steam technology is well-tested and works well in high-temperature regions, offering strong returns.

  3. Demand from industrial sectors remains steady, thanks to their need for both power and heat.

  4. Governments, especially in North America, are actively supporting geothermal with tax benefits and research funding.

Opportunities

  1. Expanding the use of modular plants could help bring geothermal to smaller regions or facilities.

  2. Emerging economies with geothermal resources are starting to invest more in clean energy.

  3. Oil and gas drilling technology can be adapted to cut costs in geothermal development.

  4. Long-term agreements with industrial clients can provide stable revenue streams for operators.

Restraints

  1. Initial project costs are high, especially due to deep drilling and exploration needs.

  2. Not every region has easy access to high-temperature underground sources.

  3. Navigating environmental permits and regulations can slow down project timelines.

  4. There’s a shortage of trained professionals who can operate and manage geothermal plants.

Trends

  1. Flash steam systems remain the top choice due to their high efficiency.

  2. Smaller plants (<5 MW) dominate the landscape, especially in isolated areas.

  3. Most installations use high-temp resources, ensuring consistent power output.

  4. Industrial use continues to be the biggest market segment.

  5. North America maintains its top position in the global geothermal sector.

Market Key Players:

  • Iberdrola
  • RWE
  • SolarEdge Technologies
  • NextEra Energy
  • China Longyuan Power Group
  • Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
  • China Three Gorges Corporation
  • Orsted
  • EDP Renewables
  • GE Renewable Energy
  • Canadian Solar
  • First Solar
  • Brookfield Renewable Partners
  • Vestas Wind Systems
  • Enel

Conclusion:

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